This paper describes a practical and conceptually simple iterative method for solving large dynamic CGE models under rational expectations. Details are given for the MONASH model of Australia but the general approach could be applied to a wide range of dynamic models. The method has been...

This empirical study of Armington elasticities between Australian domestically produced commodities and imported commodities of the same name follows directly from Alaouze, Marsden and Zeitsch [AMZ] (1977) (see Impact Project Working Paper O-11, available from this web site). In the present...

This paper explains why evidence-based trade policy decision making is heavily reliant on results generated by CGE models and why the development and application of these modelling has been particularly active in Australia. The paper provides a short history of CGE modelling and describes the...

Structural change is influenced by many factors, including technological changes and shifts in consumer preferences. These factors have an important impact on economic performance through the reallocation of resources from one economic activity to another. Applying SwissAGE, a general...

Much of the growth in trade among the industrialised countries, and more recently among countries in the Asia-Pacific region, has taken the form of intra-industry trade (IIT). Australia has historically had one of the lowest shares of IIT among OECD countries. This paper examines how Australia's...

The volatility displayed by floating exchange rates has revived interest in the relationship between exchange rates and traded goods prices. This paper aims to provide a theory of exchange rates and traded goods prices in the short-run. In particular, it examines how various factors can cause...

This paper describes the regional extension of USAGE-ITC, a 500-order dynamic CGE model of the US that we are developing in collaboration with the International Trade Commission. With the regional extension, USAGE-ITC can project the effects on employment and output by state of policy and other...

This paper describes historical and decomposition simulations undertaken for 1992 to 1998 with a 500-sector CGE model of the US. The historical simulation provides estimates of movements in unobservable technology and preference variables. The decomposition simulation explains developments in...

USAGE is a 500 industry dynamic computable general equilibrium model of the US economy being developed at Monash University in collaboration with the US International Trade Commission. In common with the MONASH model of Australia, USAGE is designed for four modes of analysis: Historical, where...

We use a 500-industry CGE model of the U.S. to simulate the macro, industry and state effects of removing major U.S. tariffs and quotas. We find that this would generate a welfare gain of 0.07 per cent. For most industries, the output change would be negligible but for sugar, butter and several...