This paper analyzes the interactions between business and financial cycles using an extensive database of over 200 business and 700 financial cycles in 44 countries for the period 1960:1-2007:4. Our results suggest that there are strong linkages between different phases of business and financial...

What causes a financial crisis? Can crises be anticipated or even avoided? Should governments and international institutions intervene? Based on ten years of research, the authors develop a theoretical approach to analyzing financial crises and use the latest economic theories to begin to...