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As a group, market forecasters are egregiously overconfident. In conformity to the dynamic model of overconfidence of Gervais and Odean (2001), successful forecasters have become more overconfident. What's more, more experienced forecasters have learned to be overconfident, and hence are more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266951
Do financial market analysts use structural economic models when forecasting exchange rates? This is the leading question analysed in this apper. In contrast to other studies we use expectations instead of realised data. Therefore we analyse the implicit structural models forecasters have in...
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This paper analyses the determinants of employment reactions induced by environmental innovations. On the basis of the parameter estimates of the Multinomial Logit and of several Multinomial Probit Models, we show that we have to distinguish between the factors that have an impact on employment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001651170
This paper investigates to what extent the usage of information and communication technology (ICT) fosters innovation activities by facilitating more flexible organisational structures in firms. We distinguish between functional flexibility (the ability of workers to co-operate and take...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003110038
This study analyses the competence gaps of lower-level managers in a typical manufacturing plant in Germany that had recently introduced a teamwork structure. Results indicate that the managers have difficulties with their new leadership-related tasks. Higher levels of leadership competence are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002591064
This paper combines two strains of the literature on the employment effects of deferred compensation. The first strain separates seniority and job matching wage effects on the basis of individual data, but cannot look at employment consequences. The second strain explains the employment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003721830
This paper demonstrates that the share of apprentices exhibits a relatively strong seasonal pattern. This means that statistics on the share of apprentices such as those presented in official publications differ substantially from the actual yearly mean if they are measured on a date close to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003738752