In this paper we develop a dynamic model for integer counts to capture the dis- creteness of price changes for financial transaction prices. Our model rests on an autoregressive multinomial component for the direction of the price change and a dynamic count data component for the size of the...

As a group, market forecasters are egregiously overconfident. In conformity to the dynamic model of overconfidence of Gervais and Odean (2001), successful forecasters have become more overconfident. What's more, more experienced forecasters have learned to be overconfident, and hence are more...

In einem Ein-Perioden-Modell werden die Auswirkungen des deutschen Steuerrechts zur Kapitalbesteuerung auf das Kapitalmarktgleichgewicht untersucht. Dabei modellieren wir sowohl einen Unternehmenssektor, der der Körperschaftsteuer unterliegt, als auch Privatinvestoren, die...

This paper considers simultaneous modelling of seasonality, slowly changing un- conditional variance and conditional heteroskedasticity in high-frequency fiancial returns. A new approach, called a seasonal SEMIGARCH model, is proposed to perform this by introducing multiplicative seasonal and...

Do financial market analysts use structural economic models when forecasting exchange rates? This is the leading question analysed in this apper. In contrast to other studies we use expectations instead of realised data. Therefore we analyse the implicit structural models forecasters have in...

Für von der deutschen Umsatzsteuer befreite Finanzdienstleistungen ist der Vorsteuerabzug grundsätzlich ausgeschlossen. Da die meisten Finanzdienstleistungsunternehmen auch zum Vorsteuerabzug berechtigte Umsätze tätigen, sind die Eingangsumsätze dieser Unternehmen in einem zum...

Dieses Papier untersucht die Ausgestaltung der deutschen Einkommensteuer und die neuen Regelungen der letzten Steuerreformen (1999, 2000) hinsichtlich ihrer Wirkungen auf das zu Grunde liegende Besteuerungssystem. Es wird gezeigt, daß die umfassende Einkommensermittlung bei Privatpersonen nur...

Strong lending relationships between banks and small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) play a key role in the bank-based financial system of Germany. So far, they have been mainly described by the notion of a housebank and transactional features of long-term bank-customer relationships. In...

This paper investigates the use of price intensities to estimate volatilities based on high-frequency data. We interpret the conditional probability for the occurence of a price event within a certain time horizon as a risk measure which allows us to obtain an estimator of the conditional...

This paper analyzes the interday stability of the price process using transaction data. While the vast majority of empirical studies on the microstructure of financial markets rests on the tacit assumption that observed prices are generated by a time-invariant price process, we question this...