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multiple (three) steady states, deterministic chaos and bubbling phenomena when individuals have perfect foresight …. Interestingly, however, we show that periodic dynamics (cycles) or complex dynamics (chaos) and global stability of the economy can …
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The BDS statistic, rooted on the correlation integral, has been proven to be useful for different problems. But although the correlation integral is defined for any choice of delay time, the BDS statistic assumes delay time is one. As different studies have shown, an adequate choice of delay...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005701778
Volatility forecasting is an important process required to measure variability in equity prices, risk management, and several other financial activities. Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic methods <InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">$$(\textit{GARCH})$$</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"> <math xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"> <mrow> <mo stretchy="false">(</mo> <mi mathvariant="italic">GARCH</mi> <mo stretchy="false">)</mo> </mrow> </math> </EquationSource> </InlineEquation> have been used to forecast volatility...</equationsource></equationsource></inlineequation>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011155116
Our proposed prediction and learning method is a hybrid referred to as MKL-GA, which combines multiple kernel learning (MKL) for regression (MKR) and a genetic algorithm (GA) to construct the trading rules. In this study, we demonstrate that the evaluation criteria used to examine the...
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Motivated by empirical evidence, we construct a model whereheterogeneous, boundedly-rational market participants rely on a mix of technical and fundamental trading rules. The rules are applied according to a weighting scheme. Traders evaluate and update their mix of rules by genetic algorithm...
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