This paper discusses the emergence of endogenous redistributive cycles in a stochastic growth model with incomplete asset markets and heterogeneous agents, where agents vote on the degree of progressivity in the tax-transfer-scheme. We develop two models, the first being highly-stylized, where...

We study the relationship between default and the maturity structure of the debt portfolio of a Sovereign, under uncertainty. The Sovereign faces a trade-off between a future costly default and a high current fiscal effort. This results into a debt crisis in case a large initial issuance of long...

We study a model where investment decisions are based on investors’ information about the unknown and endogenous return of the investment. The information of investors consists of endogenously determined messages sold by financial analysts who have access to both public and private information...

The one-sector neoclassical growth model (Solow, 1956,RES) can generate only simple dynamics. The dynamic properties of the Solow model follow from the saving behaviour and the neoclassical technology. As shown by Day (1982, AER), when average savings are allowed to vary, the discrete-time...

In this note a one-state, one-control variable quadratic linear problem with robust control and discount factor is developed to examine the optimal response of the first-period control to changes in future model uncertainty. A change in future model uncertainty has an effect on the optimal...

We document that the expectations puzzle characterising US yield data is strikingly dependent on the monetary policy regime. We then estimate an affine term-structure model built on a parsimonious macroeconomic setup over the 1970-2001 sample. The model allows us to relate deviations from the...

Time series with long-memory behavior have recently received much attention. Much interest attaches to parameter estimation in the ARFIMA model by considering different situations of this process, and specifically when there are missing observations. This is the focus of this paper. To estimate...

Price forecasting and trading strategies modelling are examined with major international stock indexes under different time horizons. Results demonstrate that an accurate prediction is equally important as a stable saving rate for long-term survivability. The best economic performances are...