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of deterrence crises for the period 1895–1985. The findings indicate that, while reputation matters, its impact is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009654072
This report uses a generic two-stage escalation model to ask whether and when limited conflicts can occur. There are two players in the model: Challenger and Defender. Challenger can either initiate a conflict or not. If Challenger initiates, Defender can concede, respond-in-kind, or escalate....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010770045
What security benefits do nuclear weapons provide to their possessors? After accounting for two potential selection effects, the empirical evidence from all international crises from 1945 to 2000 indicates that opponents of nuclear-weapon states demonstrate restraint in turning to violent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010770069
The overwhelming consensus in the literature on Slobodan Milosevic's decision to pull Serb troops out of Kosovo in June, 1999, is very clear—his concession after 78 days of bombing was a direct product of both air strikes and NATO's preparations for a ground war. Most analysts believe it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010770167
The recent North Korean crisis is the latest phase in a lengthy U.S.-North Korean deterrence relationship. That … relationship, particularly its problems and limitations, is reviewed and the effectiveness of each side's contemporary deterrence … posture is assessed. It is noted that deterrence and compellence have not prevented the emergence of the North's nuclear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010770286
failure of asymmetric deterrence. The model we develop to support this claim allows repeated rounds of bargaining, crisis, and … two sides respective bargaining positions. We therefore identify a tradeoff between bargaining and deterrence that leave …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010770330
In this study, we evaluate the effects of alliance behavior on the probability of militarized conflict initiation with specific emphasis placed on the issues at stake in the conflict. After much debate over the relationship between alliances and conflict, recent research suggests that specific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011138376
deterrence and willingness to intervene. In alliances with the defender, uncertainty about the enemy’s strength leads the third …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011138415