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-case, "pessimistic," path to that goal would see the developing world outside China returning to its slower pace of growth and poverty … of the time series data and non-linear simulations of inequality-neutral growth for the developing world as a whole. … lift one billion people out of poverty. The more optimistic path would maintain the (impressive) progress against poverty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012557993
. Economic growth is essential for any large-scale poverty reduction. Green growth, a growth process that is sensitive to … poverty-reducing growth. The paper contrasts some common and stylized green-sensitive growth ideas related to agriculture …, trade, technology, infrastructure, and urban development with the requirements of poverty-sensitive growth. It finds that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012557113
), analysts and institutions are confronted with the question of whether and how to use them for global poverty estimation. The … world. This paper presents evidence that if the global poverty line is updated with the 2011 PPP data based on the same set … of national poverty lines that define the $1.25 line in 2005 PPPs, and if the 2011 PPP conversion factors are used …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012564664
The paper presents a major overhaul to the World Bank's past estimates of global poverty, incorporating new and better … data. Extreme poverty-as judged by what "poverty" means in the world's poorest countries-is found to be more pervasive than … we thought. Yet the data also provide robust evidence of continually declining poverty incidence and depth since the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012552245
The relative contribution of a sector to poverty reduction is shown to depend on its direct and indirect growth effects …. Special attention is given to Sub-Saharan Africa. While the direct growth effect of agriculture on poverty reduction is likely …-agriculture by reviewing the literature and by analyzing cross-country national accounts and poverty data from household surveys …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012553834
This paper reports on the findings from a major international research project investigating the poverty impacts of a … global modeling framework. These world trade impacts, in turn, form the basis for 12 country case studies of the national … poverty impacts of these DDA scenarios. The focus countries include Bangladesh, Brazil (two studies), Cameroon, China (two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012554212
This paper evaluates different methods for nowcasting country-level poverty rates, including methods that apply … methods are evaluated by withholding measured poverty rates and determining how accurately the methods predict the held …-out data. A simple approach that scales the last observed welfare distribution by a fraction of real GDP per capita growth - a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013255532
in poverty? Using counterfactual simulations, this paper accounts for the contribution labor income has made to the … observed changes in poverty over the past decade for a set of 16 countries that have experienced substantial declines in … poverty. In contrast to methods that focus on aggregate summary statistics, the analysis generates entire counterfactual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012559449
growth rates and takes into account the effect of changes in within-country inequality. This paper then identifies key … obstacles to meeting the target and proposes a simple intermediate growth target under which the global poverty rate can be … poverty rate of 2030 modifying Ravallion (2013)'s approach in that it introduces country-specific economic and population …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012560845
Against what standards should we judge the developing world's overall performance against poverty going forward? The …. The first measure is absolute consumption poverty, as judged by what "poverty" means in the poorest countries. The second … is a new measure of global poverty combining absolute poverty with country-specific social inclusion needs, consistently …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012557135