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cyclical pattern. Over that cycle, world asset prices, leverage, and capital flows move in concert with global growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014259726
predictors of the financial and trade shock during the crisis. The severity of the financial shock was further exacerbated by … financial ties to the U.S., while the trade shock was more severe in EMs with a larger commodity export share …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311931
Although internal policy mismanagements can be cited in most recent emerging market crises, they seldom account fully for the severity of these crises. The reluctance of international investors to provide the resources that would limit the extent of the reversal almost invariably plays a key...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763359
autonomy in a world of large capital flows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001776
We provide a conceptual and empirical framework for evaluating the effects of short-term capital flows. A simple model of the joint determination of the maturity and cost of external borrowing highlights the role played by self-fulfilling crises. The model also specifies the circumstances under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013216104
The causes of the 2008 collapse and subsequent surge in global capital flows remain an open and highly controversial issue. Employing a factor model coupled with a dataset of high-frequency portfolio capital flows to 50 economies, the paper finds that common shocks - key crisis events as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121029
Two observations suggest that financial globalization played an important role in the recent financial crisis. First, more than half of the rise in net borrowing of the U.S. nonfinancial sectors since the mid 1980s has been financed by foreign lending. Second, the collapse of the U.S. housing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150545
explosive mix of lack of policy credibility and world capital market imperfections that afflict emerging economies with national …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223310
monetary policy shocks on a sample group of EMEs. A contractionary monetary shock leads a retrenchment in EME capital flows, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011458
Emerging economies experience sudden stops in capital inflows. As we have argued in Caballero and Krishnamurthy (2002), having access to monetary policy during these sudden stops is useful, but mostly for insurance' rather than for aggregate demand reasons. In this environment, a central bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237236