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Global Macro-Financial Cycles and Spillovers

Ha, Jongrim - 2020

We develop a new dynamic factor model that allows us to jointly characterize global macroeconomic and financial cycles and the spillovers between them. The model decomposes macroeconomic cycles into the part driven by global and country-specific macro factors and the part driven by spillovers...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479322

Thresholds in the Process of International Financial Integration

Kose, M. Ayhan - 2009

, however, is that there seem to be certain "threshold" levels of financial and institutional development that an economy needs …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463732

Does Openness to International Financial Flows Raise Productivity Growth?

Kose, M. Ayhan - 2008

Economic theory has identified a number of channels through which openness to international financial flows could raise productivity growth. However, while there is a vast empirical literature analyzing the impact of financial openness on output growth, far less attention has been paid to its...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464090

Global Business Cycles : Convergence or Decoupling?

Kose, M. Ayhan - 2008

This paper analyzes the evolution of the degree of global cyclical interdependence over the period 1960-2005. We categorize the 106 countries in our sample into three groups -- industrial countries, emerging markets, and other developing economies. Using a dynamic factor model, we then decompose...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464278

Financial Globalization : A Reappraisal

Kose, M. Ayhan - 2006

The literature on the benefits and costs of financial globalization for developing countries has exploded in recent years, but along many disparate channels with a variety of apparently conflicting results. We attempt to provide a unified conceptual framework for organizing this vast and growing...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466181

World Shocks, World Prices, and Business Cycles : An Empirical Investigation

Fernández, Andrés - 2016

intratemporal relative price such as the terms of trade and possibly an intertemporal price such as the world interest rate. This … paper presents an empirical framework in which multiple commodity prices and the world interest rate transmit world … disturbances. Estimates on a panel of 138 countries over the period 1960-2015 indicate that world shocks explain on average 33 …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455847

Does Openness to International Financial Flows Raise Productivity Growth?

Prasad, Eswar - 2008

This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the relationship between financial openness and total factor productivity (TFP) growth using an extensive dataset that includes various measures of productivity and financial openness for a large sample of countries. We find that de jure capital...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677369

Global Business Cycles

Kose, M. Ayhan - 2008

This paper analyzes the evolution of the degree of global cyclical interdependence over the period 1960-2005. We categorize the 106 countries in our sample into three groups-industrial countries, emerging markets, and other developing economies. Using a dynamic factor model, we then decompose...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677570

Global Business Cycles : Convergence or Decoupling?

Kose, M. Ayhan - 2008

Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. METHODOLOGY AND DATA -- III. DYNAMIC FACTORS AND EPISODES OF BUSINESS CYCLES -- IV. SOURCES OF BUSINESS CYCLE FLUCTUATIONS: 1960-2005 -- V. GLOBALIZATION AND THE EVOLUTION OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS CYCLES -- VI. SENSITIVITY EXPERIMENTS -- VII. CONCLUSION --...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012682176

Financial Globalization : A Reappraisal

Rogoff, Kenneth - 2006

Intro -- Contents -- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. A BRIEF OVERVIEW OF THEORY -- III. MEASURING FINANCIAL OPENNESS -- IV. PATTERNS OF FINANCIAL GLOBALIZATION -- V. MACROECONOMIC EVIDENCE ON EFFECTS OF FINANCIAL GLOBALIZATION -- VI. HOW DOES THE COMPOSITION OF CAPITAL FLOWS MATTER?...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012690991