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Coping with disasters : two centuries of international official lending

Horn, Sebastian; Reinhart, Carmen M.; Trebesch, Christoph - 2020

Official (government-to-government) lending is much larger than commonly known, often surpassing total private cross-border capital flows, especially during disasters such as wars, financial crises and natural catastrophes. We assemble the first comprehensive long-run dataset of official...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012233649

The Dynamics of Emerging Market Equity Flows

Bekaert, Geert - 1999

We study the interrelationship between capital flows, returns, dividend yields and world interest rates in 20 emerging …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471570

Time-Varying World Market Integration

Bekaert, Geert - 1994

-switching model, allows us to describe expected returns in countries that are segmented from world capital markets in one part of the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474072

Does Openness to International Financial Flows Raise Productivity Growth?

Kose, M. Ayhan - 2010

Economic theory has identified a number of channels through which openness to international financial flows could raise productivity growth. However, while there is a vast empirical literature analyzing the impact of financial openness on output growth, far less attention has been paid to its...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012758028

Market Integration and Contagion

Bekaert, Geert - 2010

to providing new insights on contagion during crisis periods, we document patterns through time in world and regional …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762856

Time-Varying World Market Integration

Bekaert, Geert - 2010

-switching model, allows us to describe expected returns in countries that are segmented from world capital markets in one part of the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763564

World Shocks, World Prices, and Business Cycles : An Empirical Investigation

Fernàndez, Andrés - 2016

intratemporal relative price such as the terms of trade and possibly an intertemporal price such as the world interest rate. This … paper presents an empirical framework in which multiple commodity prices and the world interest rate transmit world … disturbances. Estimates on a panel of 138 countries over the period 1960-2015 indicate that world shocks explain on average 33 …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979352

Political Booms, Financial Crises

Herrera, Helios - 2014

We show that political booms, measured by the rise in governments' popularity, predict financial crises above and beyond other better-known early warning indicators, such as credit booms. This predictive power, however, only holds in emerging economies. We show that governments in emerging...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049697

Global Cycles : Capital Flows, Commodities, and Sovereign Defaults, 1815-2015

Reinhart, Carmen - 2016

Capital flow and commodity cycles have long been connected with economic crises. Sparse historical data, however, has made it difficult to connect their timing. We date turning points in global capital flows and commodity prices across two centuries and provide estimates from alternative data...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999461

Corona politics : the cost of mismanaging pandemics

Herrera, Helios; Konradt, Maximilian; Ordoñez, Guillermo; … - 2020

The Covid-19 pandemic is a major test for governments around the world. We study the political consequences of (mis …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269818