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Sovereign debt in the 21st century : looking backward, looking forward

Mitchener, Kris; Trebesch, Christoph - 2021

How will sovereign debt markets evolve in the 21st century? We survey how the literature has responded to the eurozone debt crisis, placing "lessons learned" in historical perspective. The crisis featured: (i) the return of debt problems to advanced economies; (ii) a bank-sovereign "doom-loop"...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012659067

Reserve Accumulation, Macroeconomic Stabilization, and Sovereign Risk

Bianchi, Javier - 2020

In the past three decades, governments in emerging markets have accumulated large amounts of international reserves, especially those with fixed exchange rates. We propose a theory of reserve accumulation that can account for these facts. Using a model of endogenous sovereign default with...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481517

Does Openness to International Financial Flows Raise Productivity Growth?

Kose, M. Ayhan - 2008

Economic theory has identified a number of channels through which openness to international financial flows could raise productivity growth. However, while there is a vast empirical literature analyzing the impact of financial openness on output growth, far less attention has been paid to its...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464090

Global Business Cycles : Convergence or Decoupling?

Kose, M. Ayhan - 2008

This paper analyzes the evolution of the degree of global cyclical interdependence over the period 1960-2005. We categorize the 106 countries in our sample into three groups -- industrial countries, emerging markets, and other developing economies. Using a dynamic factor model, we then decompose...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464278

Crises in Emerging Market Economies : A Global Perspective

Calvo, Guillermo A. - 2005

The paper argues that global financial factors played an important role in the capital-inflow episode in Emerging Market economies (EMs), during the early part of the 1990s, and clearly in the Sudden Stop (of capital inflows) crises that took place after the 1998 Russian crisis. Moreover, the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467379

Fixing for Your Life

Calvo, Guillermo A. - 2000

The Asian crisis took place against a background of exchange rate regimes that were characterized as soft pegs. This has led many analysts to conclude that the peg did it' and that emerging markets (EMs) should just say no' to pegged exchange rates. We present evidence that EMs are very...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470725

Restructuring sovereign bonds : holdouts, haircuts and the effectiveness of CACs

Fang, Chuck; Schumacher, Julian; Trebesch, Christoph - 2021 - This version: November 2020

higher haircuts see higher holdout rates, and the same is true for small bonds and those issued under foreign law. Collective …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012405397

Corona politics : the cost of mismanaging pandemics

Herrera, Helios; Konradt, Maximilian; Ordoñez, Guillermo; … - In: Covid economics : vetted and real-time papers (2020) 50, pp. 3-32

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012311870

Corona politics : the cost of mismanaging pandemics

Herrera, Helios; Konradt, Maximilian; Ordoñez, Guillermo; … - 2020

The Covid-19 pandemic is a major test for governments around the world. We study the political consequences of (mis …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269818

World Shocks, World Prices, and Business Cycles : An Empirical Investigation

Fernández, Andrés - 2016

intratemporal relative price such as the terms of trade and possibly an intertemporal price such as the world interest rate. This … paper presents an empirical framework in which multiple commodity prices and the world interest rate transmit world … disturbances. Estimates on a panel of 138 countries over the period 1960-2015 indicate that world shocks explain on average 33 …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455847