This paper presents the first empirical investigation of the Multifractal Model of Asset Returns (quot;MMARquot;). The MMAR, developed in Mandelbrot, Fisher, and Calvet (1997) (See Mandelbrot, Fisher, and Calvet, 1997 at the following URL: http://papers.ssrn.com/paper.taf?abstract_id=78588 ), is...

This paper presents the quot;multifractal model of asset returnsquot; (quot;MMARquot;), based upon the pioneering research into multifractal measures by Mandelbrot (1972, 1974). The multifractal model incorporates two elements of Mandelbrot's past research that are now well known in finance....

This paper shows that about 70 percent of the variance of the yearly change in the world private financial saving rate can be explained by lagged changes in world stock and housing prices for the sample period 1982-2013. The results suggest that increased fluctuations in asset prices since 1995...

The world macro saving fact concerns the total financial saving of the world's private sector divided by world GDP. Relative to changes before 1994, there was a huge fall in this ratio between 1995 and 2000, a huge increase between 2000 and 2003, a huge fall between 2003 and 2006, and a huge...

This paper takes a somewhat different approach from the recent literature in estimating exchange rate equations. It assumes uncovered interest rate parity and models how expectations are formed. Agents are assumed to base their expectations of future interest rates and prices, which are needed...

This paper computes the semiparametric efficiency bound for finite dimensional parameters identified by models of sequential moment restrictions containing unknown functions. Our results extend those of Chamberlain (1992b) and Ai and Chen (2003) for semiparametric conditional moment restriction...

Linear cointegration is known to have the important property of invariance under temporal translation. The same property is shown not to apply for nonlinear cointegration. The requisite limit theory involves sample covariances of integrable transformations of non-stationary sequences and time...

In continuous time specifications, the prices of interest rate derivative securities depend crucially on the mean reversion parameter of the associated interest rate diffusion equation. This parameter is well known to be subject to estimation bias when standard methods like maximum likelihood...

The Multifractal Model of Asset Returns (See lt;a HREF=http://papers.ssrn.com/paper.taf?abstract_id=78588gt;Mandelbrot, Fisher, and Calvet, 1997lt;/Agt; ) proposes a class of multifractal processes for the modelling of financial returns. In that paper, multifractal processes are defined by a...

Reduced rank regression (RRR) models with time varying heterogeneity are considered. Standard information criteria for selecting cointegrating rank are shown to be weakly consistent in semiparametric RRR models in which the errors have general nonparametric short memory components and shifting...