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In this paper I attempt to reconcile the apparent definiteness of econometric practice with the vagueness of subjective probabilities assumed in Knightian decision theory. I argue that some standard uses of classical inference are Knightian in spirit, even though the formal justification of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005762490
The theory of choice proposed in "Knightian Decision Theory, Part I" is here applied to intertemporal problems. An analogue of dynamic programming called maxmin programming is developed. Also, it is shown that detailed contingent planning may not be needed in order to achieve maximality, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005762716
This paper contains a review of work on wage rigidity. The work includes field studies, and economic experiments, and psychological surveys. Economists have done the field studies and experiments, and management scientists and experimental psychologists have done the surveys.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593238
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Stimulated by Frank Knight's work, "Risk, Uncertainty and Profit," I present a theory of innovation based on what I term Knightian decision theory. This theory includes a concept of uncertainty aversion, a behavioral property that makes people reluctant to undertake new unevaluatable risks. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005463850
A theory of choice under uncertainty is proposed which removes the completeness assumption from the Anscombe-Aumann formulation of Savage's theory and introduces an inertia assumption. The inertia assumption is that there is such a thing as the status quo and an alternative is accepted only if...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004990797
Over 300 business people, labor leaders, business consultants, and counselors of unemployed people were interviewed during the recession of the early 1990's in order to learn why wages and salaries were declining in only a few firms. Employers believed that cutting pay would hurt employee...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005634726