Showing 1 - 10 of 69
constraints generate inflation. We study stochastic economies with fiat money, a central bank, one nondurable commodity, countably … and a fixed price for the commodity. Consequently, we investigate stationary equilibria with inflation, in which aggregate … equation for the rate of inflation continues to hold and the real rate of interest is equal to the common discount rate of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004979386
Reduced rank regression procedures in error correction models (ECM's) permit consistent estimation of the cointegration … space but do not provide consistent estimates of individual structural relations when the dimension of the cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005762598
cointegration models with time varying coefficients and provide sharp convergence rates in that case. For the fixed design models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010817211
This paper reports quarterly ex ante forecasts of macroeconomic activity for the U.S.A., Japan and Australia for the period 1995-1997. The forecasts are based on automated time series models of vector autoregressions (VAR's), reduced rank regressions (RRR's), error correction models (ECM's) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005634722
This paper studies nonlinear cointegration models in which the structural coefficients may evolve smoothly over time …-consistency apply in nonparametric kernel estimation of time-varying coefficient cointegration models. The higher rate of convergence (n …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010895635
Systemic risk must include the housing market, though economists have not generally focused on it. We begin construction of an agent-based model of the housing market with individual data from Washington, DC. Twenty years of success with agent-based models of mortgage prepayments give us hope...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009653366
We prove the existence of monetary equilibrium in a finite horizon economy with production. We also show that if agents expect the monetary authority to significantly decrease the supply of bank money available for short term loans in the future, then the economy will fall into a liquidity trap...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005762579
The world is first known inflation-indexed bonds were issued by the Commonwealth of Massachusetts in 1780 during the … Revolutionary War. These bonds were invented to deal with severe wartime inflation and with angry discontent among soldiers in the U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464040
The central macroeconomic issue is the same as ever. How reliable are automatic market adjustments in maintaining full employment equilibrium in the face of aggregate demand shocks? Many modern theorists assume that nominal prices, including wages, jump instantaneously to keep supply and demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593339
The present study analyzes computer performance over the last century and a half. Three results stand out. First, there has been a phenomenal increase in computer power over the twentieth century. Performance in constant dollars or in terms of labor units has improved since 1900 by a factor in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593616