Showing 1 - 10 of 147
Recent time series methods are applied to the problem of forecasting New Zealand's real GDP. Model selection is … forecasting settings are performed with the VAR models. The first provides conditional predictions of New Zealand's real GDP when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005196023
This paper studies large and moderate deviation properties of a realized volatility statistic of high frequency financial data. We establish a large deviation principle for the realized volatility when the number of high frequency observations in a fixed time interval increases to infinity. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003656
This paper motivates and introduces a two-stage method for estimating diffusion processes based on discretely sampled observations. In the first stage we make use of the feasible central limit theory for realized volatility, as recently developed in Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (2002), to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005087391
This paper overviews maximum likelihood and Gaussian methods of estimating continuous time models used in finance. Since the exact likelihood can be constructed only in special cases, much attention has been devoted to the development of methods designed to approximate the likelihood. These...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005762525
There is an emerging consensus in empirical finance that realized volatility series typically display long range dependence with a memory parameter (d) around 0.4 (Andersen et. al. (2001), Martens et al. (2004)). The present paper provides some analytical explanations for this evidence and shows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593334
Chen and Deo (2009a) proposed procedures based on restricted maximum likelihood (REML) for estimation and inference in the context of predictive regression. Their method achieves bias reduction in both estimation and inference which assists in overcoming size distortion in predictive hypothesis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011096426
This paper develops a new hedonic method for constructing a real estate price index that utilizes all transaction price information that encompasses both single-sale and repeat-sale properties. The new method is less prone to specification errors than standard hedonic methods and uses all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011096429
A model of price determination is proposed that incorporates flat trading features into an efficient price process. The model involves the superposition of a Brownian semimartingale process for the efficient price and a Bernoulli process that determines the extent of flat price trading. A limit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005463915
The Kalman filter is sued to derive updating equations for the Bayesian data density in discrete time linear regression models with stochastic regressors. The implied "Bayes model" has time varying parameters and conditionally heterogeneous error variances. A sigma-finite "Bayes model" measure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593185
Some challenges for econometric research on trending time are discussed in relation to some perceived needs of macroeconomics and macroeconomic policy making.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593376