A hypothesis is examined in support of Jin and Myers (2006) using cross-country individual stock’s R2 (i.e., individual stock’s R2 are calculated from the market-model regression using each country’s market return and U.S. market returns). Consistent with Jin and Myers, R2 has consistently...

The strong appreciation of the Czech koruna over 2001?2002 and the foreign exchange interventions conducted by the Czech central bank under its inflation-targeting regime provide a good opportunity to consider the pros and cons of FX intervention, an often-controversial monetary-policy...

The authors study the dependence of the Czech koruna’s exchange rate to the euro on risk factors that cannot be reduced to standard macroeconomic fundamentals. For this purpose, they construct an international asset-pricing model in which the exchange rate is codetermined by a risk factor...

This article reviews several approaches to testing the effectiveness of foreign-exchange interventions and applies some of these to data on interventions made by the Czech National Bank in 2001 and 2002. The reaction function of the CNB and the impact of interventions on exchange rates and on...

The authors address the issue of foreign exchange risk and its macroeconomic determinants in several Central European (CE) economies. The joint distribution of excess returns in the foreign exchange market and observable country-specific macroeconomic factors is modeled using the stochastic...

The Great Recession affected export and import patterns in our sample of new EU member countries, and these changes, coupled with a more volatile external environment, have a profound impact on our estimates of real exchange rate misalignments and projections of sustainable real exchange rates....

This study investigates volatility spillovers and the dynamic relationship between the stock and currency markets in the Czech Republic, Poland, Hungary and Russia using four multivariate GARCH models. We analyze the optimal weights and the effectiveness of diversification for stock-currency...

The Czech National Bank (CNB) conducts a monthly survey to collect domestic and foreign analysts’ forecasts of several economic and financial variables. Among these are the 2-week repo rate (which is the monetary policy interest rate set by the CNB), the 1-year Prague interbank offer rate and...

The article summarizes recognized empirical knowledge about the causes of currency crises, making use of several extensive empirical studies carried out in the late 1990s, and examines select theoretical models of such causation. The results are divided into three levels of causes: general risk...

The aim of this paper is to challenge the widely made claim that a weaker currency will automatically improve the current-account balance. Its objective is to present the puzzling fact that, for an open economy, a current-account reaction to nominal exchange rate changes cannot be identified....