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Do prices in the EMU converge (non-linearly)?

Fritsche, Ulrich; Lein-Rupprecht, Sarah M.; Weber, Sebastian - 2009

This paper examines the current state of price convergence amongst the eleven initial EMU member states. Special … attention is given to possible changes in the convergence process during the euro cash changeover. We apply the convergence … kernel-density estimates. We find that convergence took place before 2000, slowed down substantially between 2000 and 2003 …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425231

Adjustment in EMU : is convergence assured?

Dullien, Sebastian; Fritsche, Ulrich; Größl, Ingrid; … - 2009

Using a modified version of the model presented by Belke and Gros (2007), we analyze the stability of adjustment in a currency union. Using econometric estimates for parameter values we check the stability conditions for the 11 original EMU countries and Greece. We found significant instability...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425867

Analysing convergence in Europe using a non-linear single factor model

Fritsche, Ulrich; Kuzin, Vladimir - 2008

We investigate convergence in European price level, unit labor cost, income, and productivity data over the period of … extremely flexible on order to model a large number of transition paths to convergence. We find regional clusters in consumer … indicate the existence of three convergence clubs without strong regional linkages; Italy and Germany are not converging to any …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426359

Does the dispersion of unit labor cost dynamics in the EMU imply long-run divergence? : results from a comparison with the United States of America and Germany

Dullien, Sebastian; Fritsche, Ulrich - 2007

inflation convergence using different approaches, namely panel unit root tests, cointegration tests and error-correction models …. All in all we cannot reject convergence of ULC growth in EMU, however, country-specific deviations from the rest of the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426361

Unit labor cost growth differentials in the Euro area, Germany, and the US : lessons from PANIC and cluster analysis

Fritsche, Ulrich; Kuzin, Vladimir - 2007

area, and narrower differences in labour productivity growth (Alvarez et al., 2006). We investigate convergence of … are much less important in explaining the variance of ULC growth. We report evidence for convergence clusters in all …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426362

How bad is divergence in the Euro-zone? : lessons from the United States of America and Germany

Dullien, Sebastian; Fritsche, Ulrich - 2006 - This version: October 06

This paper compares relative unit labour cost developments in the countries of the euro-area since the beginning of the European Monetary Union (EMU) both with historical developments and with intra-regional unit labour cost developments in the United States of America and Germany. To this end,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426369

Till labor cost do us part : on the long run convergence of EMU countries

Pancotto, Francesca; Pericoli, Filippo Maria - 2011

A sustainable long-run pattern in the relative competitiveness of euro area countries is a key factor for the survivorship of the monetary union. We analyze the issue focussing on unit labor cost dynamics using cointegration analysis for the whole economy and for the manufacturing sector...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011735051

State-of-play in implementing macroeconomic adjustment programmes in the euro area : short version

Gros, Daniel; Alcidi, Cinzia; Belke, Ansgar; Coutinho, … - 2014

Two of the four macroeconomic adjustment programmes, Portugal and Ireland’s, can be considered a success in the sense that the initial expectations in terms of adjustment, both fiscal and external, were broadly fulfilled. A rebound based on exports has taken hold in these two countries, but a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010349252

The euro area crisis management framework : consequences and institutional follow-ups

Belke, Ansgar - 2010

The current instruments in the EU to deal with debt and liquidity crises include among others the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) and the European Financial Stabilisation Mechanism (EFSM). Both are temporary in nature (3 years). In terms of an efficient future crisis management...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008933285

Reinforcing EU governance in times of crisis : the commission proposals and beyond

Belke, Ansgar - 2010

The recent extensive package introduced by the Commission is the most comprehensive reinforcement of economic governance in the EU and the euro area since the launch of the Economic and Monetary Union. Broader and enhanced surveillance of fiscal policies, but also macroeconomic policies and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008934948