Showing 1 - 10 of 119
As panel vector autoregressive (PVAR) models can include several countries and variables in one system, they are well suited for global spillover analyses. However, PVARs require restrictions to ensure the feasibility of the estimation. The present paper uses a selection prior for a data-based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979763
means of conditional moments of simulated bivariate standardized copula distributions. We conduct in-sample forecasting … on the basis of their one-step ahead forecasting performance. With regard to forecast unbiasedness and precision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084434
-time out-of-sample forecasting experiment using more than 17,000 models formed of all possible combinations with a maximum of 3 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051847
Before the World War I, the urban rental housing market in Germany could be described as a free and competitive market. The government hardly interfered in the relationships between the landlords and tenants. The rents were set freely. During the World War I, the market was hit by several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023167
The use of log-transformed data has become standard in macroeconomic forecasting with VAR models. However, its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014036802
Fairtrade certification aims at transferring wealth from the consumer to the farmer; however, coffee passes through many hands before reaching final consumers. Bringing together retail, wholesale, and stock market data, this study estimates how much more consumers are paying for Structural VAR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889197
In order to identify structural shocks that affect economic variables, restrictions need to be imposed on the parameters of structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) models. Economic theory is the primary source of such restrictions. However, only over-identifying restrictions can be tested with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941084
This paper proposes a Bayesian approach to assess if the data support candidate set-identifying restrictions for Vector Autoregressive models. The researcher is uncertain about the validity of some sign restrictions that she is contemplating to use. She therefore expresses her uncertainty with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995896
This paper investigates the dynamic effects of tax changes on the cross-sectional distribution of disposable income in the United States using a narrative identification approach. I distinguish between changes in personal and corporate income taxes and quantify the distributional effects on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014242342
The appropriate design of monetary policy in integrated financial markets is one of the most challenging areas for central banks. One hot topic is whether the rise in liquidity in recent years has contributed to the formation of price bubbles in asset markets. If strong linkages exist, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158282