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Based on a panel of German professional forecasts for 1970 to 2003 we find that growth and inflation forecasts are unbiased and weakly, but not strongly efficient. Besides the effect of diverging forecasting dates, no other substantial differences in forecasting quality are found among...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260675
Based on representative micro data for Germany, we compare the incomes of self-employed with those of wage workers. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010435309
Germany experienced a unique rise in the level of self-employment in the first two decades following unification … employees and the overall level of self-employment in West Germany, their explanatory power is much lower for the stronger … increase of solo self-employment and of self-employment in former socialist East Germany. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010481527
entrepreneurship in Germany between 1991 and 2010, the first two decades after reunification. We investigate the socioeconomic … increase in self-employment in Germany by 40 percent which can partly be attributed to the transformation process of East … Germany and to the shift to the service sector. We notice a yearly start-up rate of 1 percent among the working population …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287328
Inflation differentials in the Euro area are mainly due to a sustained divergence of wage developments across the Euro area, and narrower differences in labour productivity growth (Alvarez et al., 2006). We investigate convergence of inflation using unit labour cost (ULC) growth and applying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260899
A reliable leading indicator should possess the following properties: (1) The movements in the indicator series should resemble those in the business cycle reference series. (2) The relation between the reference series and the indicator should be statistically significant and stable over time....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324215
Using micro-level panel data of about 35,000 firms from the German Cost Structure Census, we analyze the differences of technical efficiency across industries. Technical efficiency is estimated by firms? fixed effects. One striking result is that the distribution of technical efficiency across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324228
The determinants of migrants' remittances are the subject of this study based on German SOEP data (2001-2006). In contrast to previous studies we analyze the motives for remittances not only for foreigners but also for the broader group of individuals with a personal migration background. Major...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324256
This paper investigates the factors that explain the level and dynamics of manufacturing firm productive efficiency. In our empirical analysis, we use a unique sample of about 39,000 firms in 256 industries from the German Cost Structure Census over the years 1992-2005. We estimate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324257
2007, about 7.3 million foreigners were living in Germany. While the total number of foreigners has decreased over the last … decade, female migration to Germany has increased. Today, women constitute 48.6% of migratory flows to Germany, although the …-specific determinants of remittances from Germany. Here we attempt to fill this gap, focusing on gender roles and network effects. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265016