Using a binary reference series based on the dating procedure of Artis, Kontolemis and Osborn (1997) different procedures for predicting turning points of the German business cycles were tested. Specifically, a probit model as proposed by Estrella and Mishkin (1997) as well as Markov-switching...

We examine the impact of family income during childhood on the type of secondary school that German children attend, a good indicator of their lifetime socioeconomic attainment. By contrast with several US child outcome studies, we find that late-childhood income is a more important determinant...

In this paper we identify a number of objectionable features of the German retirement benefit formula. We show that groups of insureds with higher than average life expectancy, in particular high-income groups, are subsidized by the rest of the membership because the formula neglects differences...

In letzter Zeit mehren sich die Stimmen, die das gegenwärtige System der Beitragserhebung in der Gesetzlichen Krankenversicherung, nämlich die Anknüpfung der Beiträge am Arbeitseinkommen, kritisieren und vorschlagen, zu einer einheitlichen Prämie je erwachsenem Versicherten nach dem Vorbild...