Showing 1 - 10 of 146
The Google Insights data are a collection of recorded Internet searches for a huge number of the keywords, which are … consumption based on both the conventional consumer confidence indicators and the Google indicators. The latter are extracted from … the Google searches using the principal component analysis. It is shown that the Google indicators are especially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274377
The current economic crisis requires fast information to predict economic behavior early, which is difficult at times of structural changes. This paper suggests an innovative new method of using data on internet activity for that purpose. It demonstrates strong correlations between keyword...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271149
This paper employs a price-based measure of integration, namely stock return differentials between ten emerging Asian economies and the US (as an indicator of global integration), as well as Japan and the Asian region (as two alternative indicators of regional integration), to test for mean...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011655329
In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 115 indicators to predict the housing prices and rents in 71 … tested in a framework of a quasi out-of-sample forecasting. Its results are quite heterogeneous. No single indicator appears …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010331958
even more pronounced at longer forecasting horizons (the forecast accuracy gain as measured by the root mean squared … spatial dependence structure into regional forecasting models, especially, when long-term forecasts are made. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012038663
This paper considers the issue of forecasting financial fragility of banks and insurances using a panel data set of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271107
shown that effect of accounting for spatial dependence is even more pronounced at longer forecasting horizons (the forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274376
-on-quarter growth rates in Switzerland. It also assesses the informational content of macroeconomic data releases for forecasting of the … for GDP forecasting although their ranking depends on the underlying transformation of monthly indicators from which the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274409
-of-sample forecasting exercise, we find that both pooling and accounting for spatial effects helps to substantially improve the forecast …-of-sample forecasting of the growth rates of flats' prices and rents for the next six months is done. It shows that in most cities both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287317
We extend the analysis of Christoffersen and Diebold (1998) on long-run forecasting in cointegrated systems to …, this new loss function entails high and increasing forecasting gains compared to both the standard MSFE criterion and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260703