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Do women expect wage cuts for part-time work?

Schrenker, Annekatrin - 2022

I quantify the perceived changes in hourly wage rates associated with working different hours on the same job for a representative sample of female workers. While part-time working women expect significant hourly wage gains from switching to full-time work - 7% on average - full-time workers...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013462652

Conflict experiences and household expectations on recovery: Survey evidence from northern Uganda

Bozzoli, Carlos; Brück, Tilman; Muhumuza, Tony - 2010

We analyse the role of mass violent conflict in influencing individual expectations. We hypothesise that individuals … are likely to report negative expectations if they were exposed to conflict events in the past. We combine individual and … association between conflict and expectations. Results indicate that conflict intensity is correlated with a decrease in the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285753

Perceptions, expectations, and entrepreneurship: The role of extreme events

Brück, Tilman; Llussá, Fernanda; Tavares, José - 2010

We provide, for the first time, comparative evidence of the impact of various types of extreme events - natural disasters, terrorism, and violent conflicts - on the perceptions of entrepreneurs concerning some key entrepreneurial issues - such as fear of failure in starting a business venture,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286046

On the Role of Stock Market for Real Economic Activity: Evidence for Europe

Siliverstovs, Boriss; Duong, Manh Ha - 2006

, France, Italy, the Netherlands, and the UK. We find that even when accounting for expectations, represented by the economic …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260967

The importance of global shocks for national policymakers: rising challenges for central banks

Belke, Ansgar; Rees, Andreas - 2009

We analyze the importance of global shocks for the global economy and national policy makers. More specifically, we investigate whether monetary policy has become less effective in the wake of financial globalization. We also examine whether there is increasing uncertainty for central banks due...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271110

Declining Output Volatility in Germany : Impulses, Propagation, and the Role of Monetary Policy

Fritsche, Ulrich; Kuzin, Vladimir N. - 2004

We analyse the decline in output volatility in Germany. A lower level of variance in an autoregressive model of output growth can be either due to a change in the structure of the economy (a change in the propagation mechanism) or a reduced error term variance (reduced impulses). In Germany the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274489

Trends and cycles in macro series: The case of US real GDP

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2017

In this paper we propose a new modelling framework for the analysis of macro series that includes both stochastic trends and stochastic cycles in addition to deterministic terms such as linear and non-linear trends. We examine four US macro series, namely annual and quarterly real GDP and GDP...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011749973

Do leading indicators help to predict business cycle turning points in Germany?

Fritsche, Ulrich; Kouzine, Vladimir - 2002

Using a binary reference series based on the dating procedure of Artis, Kontolemis and Osborn (1997) different procedures for predicting turning points of the German business cycles were tested. Specifically, a probit model as proposed by Estrella and Mishkin (1997) as well as Markov-switching...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260642

International Wealth Effects

Slacalek, Jirka - 2006

This paper investigates the wealth effect for 16 industrial countries using the recently proposed technique that exploits the sluggishness of consumption growth. I estimate that the longrun marginal propensity to consume from wealth varies from less than 0.5 cents in France to 4.5 cents in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260965

What Drives Personal Consumption? The Role of Housing and Financial Wealth

Slacalek, Jirka - 2006

I construct a new dataset with financial and housing wealth in 16 countries and investigate the effect of wealth on consumption. The baseline estimation method based on the sluggishness of consumption growth implies that the long-run marginal propensity to consume out of total wealth averaged...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260998

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