Die von Spanien, Italien und Portugal zwischen 2010 und 2014 unternommenen fiskalischen Konsolidierungsanstrengungen haben entgegen ihrem Ziel nicht zu einer Reduzierung der Staatsschuldenquote dieser drei Länder geführt. Dieser Wochenbericht untersucht, warum die teilweise drastischen...

Eine Neugestaltung der europäischen Fiskalpolitik ist ein Kernthema aktueller Reformüberlegungen. Dabei wird insbesondere über die Schaffung eines europäischen Stabilisierungsmechanismus diskutiert. Diese Studie befasst sich mit den zu erwartenden makroökonomischen Auswirkungen eines...

This paper analyzes the impacts of news shocks on macroeconomic volatility. Whereas anticipation amplifies volatility in any purely forward-looking model, such as the baseline New Keynesian model, the results are ambiguous when including a backward-looking component. In addition to these...

This paper compares the welfare effects of anticipated and unanticipated cost-push shocks within the canonical New Keynesian model with optimal monetary policy. We find that, for empirically plausible degrees of nominal rigidity, the anticipation of a future cost-push shock leads to a higher...

The endorsement of expansionary fiscal packages has often been based on the idea that large multipliers can contrast rising unemployment. Is that really the case? We explore those issues in a New Keynesian model in which unemployment arises because of matching frictions. We compare fiscal...

The purpose of this paper is to show how to solve linear dynamic rational expectations models with anticipated shocks by using the generalized Schur decomposition method. Furthermore, we determine the optimal unrestricted and restricted policy responses to anticipated shocks. We demonstrate our...

We study alternative scenarios for exiting the post-crisis fiscal and monetary accommodation using the model of Angeloni and Faia (2010), that combines a standard DSGE framework with a fragile banking sector, suitably modified and calibrated for the euro area. Credibly announced and fast fiscal...