This paper estimates standard and extended Taylor rules for core countries in the euro area, namely France, Germany and Italy, as well as for the ECB. We perform extensive tests for over-identifying restrictions and instrument relevance, a practice generally eschewed in previous work. We find...

This paper examines the role of the ECB communication activities on daily Eurodollar exchange rate and interest rates. We estimate the relationship between monetary policy and the exchange rate using a technique that explicitly recognizes the joint determination of both the levels and...

We introduce an index of ex ante exchange market pressure (EMP) that can be used as a benchmark against which to measure the effectiveness of sterilized intervention. Ex ante EMP is the change in the exchange rate that would be observed if the authorities refrain from intervening and agents...

We estimate real U.S. GDP growth as a threshold autoregressive process, and construct confidence intervals for the parameter estimates. However, there are various approaches that can be used in constructing the confidence intervals. Specifically, standard- t , bootstrap- t , and...

Using transactions-level customs data from Colombia, we study …firm-specific export patterns over the period 1996-2005. Our data allow us to track firm\'s entry and exit into and out of individual destination markets, as well as their revenues from selling there. We find that, in a typical...