In the aftermath of the consumer debt–induced recession, policymakers have questioned whether fiscal stimulus is effective during periods of high consumer indebtedness. This study empirically investigates this question. Using detailed data on Department of Defense spending for the 2007–2009...

Most macroeconomic models imply that increases in government spending cause interest rates to rise, but empirical evidence from the U.S. generally fails to support this prediction. We propose a novel explanation for how government spending can have a muted or negative temporary effect on...

We evaluate alternative public debt management policies in light of constraints imposed by the effective lower bound on interest rates. Replacing the current limit on gross debt issued by the fiscal authority with a limit on consolidated debt of the government can ensure that output always...

We document four features of consumption and income microdata: 1) household-level consumption is as volatile as household income on average, 2) household-level consumption has a positive but small correlation with income, 3) many low-wealth households have marginal propensities to consume near...