Showing 1 - 10 of 15
The experiences of 259 regions in 21 European countries with within country GDP per capita and labour productivity growth suggest that variables associated with pro-active, growth oriented strategies are consistently more important predictors of successful regional development than variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010424528
Most parts of the Euro area have seen seven years of deep economic crisis. The strategy of tightening the fiscal constraints of the SGP has driven many member states into austerity. In contrast, the golden rule of public investment proposed in this study would be one important element of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011336549
We analyze unconditional within-country convergence from 1991 to 2009 in 21 European countries. Unlike most previous … studies we focus on the heterogeneity of convergence. We find that convergence processes in currency unions are extremely … question the focus of the traditional literature on average (beta-)convergence and suggest substantial non-linearities in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010424527
A sustainable long-run pattern in the relative competitiveness of euro area countries is a key factor for the survivorship of the monetary union. We analyze the issue focussing on unit labor cost dynamics using cointegration analysis for the whole economy and for the manufacturing sector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011735051
The economic crisis has laid open deficiencies in the construction of the European Economic and Monetary Union. At its foundation, it was assumed that monetary integration would reduce the likelihood of asymmetric shocks. The crisis shows, however, that endogenous mechanisms may even amplify...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426663
We use an overlapping generations model to show that a bail-out is the optimal response to a fiscal crisis when the level of integration in a Monetary Union is high and the departure from Ricardian equivalence is significant. As it may not be optimal expost, the no bail-out rule is not credible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118957
The Excessive Deficit Procedure (EDP), central to the Stability and Growth Pact, is criticized for both its procyclical effects and – in contrast – a perceived lack of enforcement. To test its actual effects, we construct a real-time database of EDP recommendations and estimate augmented...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910189
Enforcement of European fiscal rules, to a large extent, hinges on the fiscal forecasts prepared by the European Commission (EC). The reliability of these forecasts has received little attention in the literature, despite the fact that i) the forecasts have potentially far-reaching consequences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040182
We analyze fiscal rules within a Monetary Union in the presence of (i) asymmetric information about member states' potential output and, therefore, output gap and (ii) bail-out among member states. In our framework, bail-out lowers the scope for signalling (discrimination) by member states...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011714310
A number of novelties have emerged in the study of the discretionary fiscal policy within the Euro area during the last decade. Among the others, the availability of up-to-date information on fiscal indicators for the years following the Great Recession, the introduction of cutting-edge...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011813607