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Trajectories and models of individual growth

Karkach, Arseniy - In: Demographic Research 15 (2006) 12, pp. 347-400

It has long been recognized that the patterns of growth play an important role in the evolution of age trajectories of fertility and mortality (Williams, 1957). Life history studies would benefit from a better understanding of strategies and mechanisms of growth, but still no comparative...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005163149

World Urbanization Prospects

Bocquier, Philippe - In: Demographic Research 12 (2005) 9, pp. 197-236

alternative hypothesis. Projections are proposed using a polynomial model and compared to the UN projections, which are based on a … linear model. The conclusion is that UN projections may overestimate the urban population for the year 2030 by almost one …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005163204

Mathematical Models for Human Cancer Incidence Rates

Arbeev, Konstantin; Ukraintseva, Svetlana; Arbeeva, … - In: Demographic Research 12 (2005) 10, pp. 237-272

phenomenon. We extend the Strehler and Mildvan model of aging and mortality and apply it to the analysis of data on cancer … incidence at old ages. The model explains time trends and age patterns of cancer incidence rates. Applications to cancer …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700036

Effects of current education on second- and third-birth rates among Norwegian women and men born in 1964: Substantive interpretations and methodological issues

Kravdal, Øystein - In: Demographic Research 17 (2007) 9, pp. 211-246

A variety of approaches have been employed to assess the importance of womenâ€™s education for their second- or third-birth rates. Some researchers have included the educational level measured at a relatively high age in their models, whereas others have included current education. A few...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700068

More on the Cohort-Component Model of Population Projection in the Context of HIV/AIDS: A Leslie Matrix Representation and New Estimates

Thomas, Jason; Clark, Samuel J. - In: Demographic Research 25 (2011) 2, pp. 39-102

This article presents an extension of the cohort component model of population projection (CCMPP) first formulated by … representation of the CCMPP that greatly facilitates implementation of the model for parameter estimation and projecting. The Leslie … distribution and time to stability. We validate our reformulation of the model by comparing parameter estimates obtained through …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009150995