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The rapid rise in the price of crude oil between 2004 and the summer of 2006 are the subject of debate. This paper investigates the factors that might have contributed to the oil price increase in addition to demand and supply for crude oil, by expanding a model for crude oil prices to include...
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number of issues of concern about how they are estimated and then related to the underlying macroeconomic theory. The first …
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to the rest of the world tends to fluctuate over time but remains large overall. Second, although the size of the … more persistent. Actually, the increasing economic integration at the world level is likely to have fostered second …
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Forecasting the world economy is a difficult task given the complex interrelationships within and across countries …. This paper proposes a number of approaches to forecast short-term changes in selected world economic variables and aims …
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of the world. Overall we find that while US economic developments would indeed affect the rest of the world, developments …
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countryspecific foreign output variable to capture direct inter-country linkages. In accord with the theory all variables are measured … restrictions implied by the NK theory. The multi-country DSGE NK model is then solved to provide estimates of identified supply …
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