The Bogor Declaration of 1994 proposed free trade in the Asia Pacific region by the year 2020. If implemented as announced, this program will have important implications for the world economy over the next few decades. This paper uses a new dynamic multi-sector global model called the...

Southeast Asian industrial exports are facing intense competition from Chinese industrial exports. How much more will competition increase as a result of China's recent accession to the World Trade Organization? Will Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, and Thailand (the ASEAN-4)...

The current weakness in the global economy has generated a debate on the likely outlook for the world economy and the appropriate response for monetary policies. The world economy is currently being buffeted by a number of major shocks. A particular feature has been the large fall in equity...

This paper is a revised version of a paper that was originally presented to the Asian Economic Panel meeting held in Tokyo, May 11-12, 2003 and the Pacific Economic Cooperation Council (PECC) Finance forum, Hua Hin, Thailand, July 8-9, 2003. We have updated that original paper to include the...