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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001544123
We ask whether stock returns in France, Germany, Japan, the UK and the US are predictable by three instruments: the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763174
differential effects of UI in booms and recessions, this paper exploits the fact that, in Germany, potential UI benefit duration is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110942
We quantify the effect of a significant technological innovation, shale oil development, on asset prices. Using stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977630
The continuing adverse labor market effects of the Great Recession have intensified interest in policy efforts to spur job creation. In periods when labor demand and supply are in balance, either hiring credits or worker subsidies can be used to boost employment - hiring credits by reducing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128608
Using holdings data on a representative sample of all Shanghai Stock Exchange investors, we show that increases in ownership breadth (the fraction of market participants who own a stock) predict low returns: highest change quintile stocks underperform lowest quintile stocks by 23% per year....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135241
. This assumption sufficiently restricts the reduced form of key macroeconomic variables to allow estimation of the shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139739
We examine monthly variation in weekly work hours using data for 2003-10 from the Current Population Survey (CPS) on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096809
I review recent research efforts in the area of empirical cross-sectional asset pricing. I start by summarizing the evidence on cross-sectional return predictability and the failure of standard (consumption) CAPM models and their conditional versions to explain these predictability patterns. One...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097666
This paper offers three results. First, in line with the previous literature, we confirm that fiscal adjustments based mostly on the spending side are less likely to be reversed. Second, spending based fiscal adjustments have caused smaller recessions than tax based fiscal adjustments. Finally,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100133