In ESTAR models it is usually dfficult to determine parameter estimates, as it can be observedin the literature. We show that the phenomena of getting strongly biased estimators is aconsequence of the so-called identication problem, the problem of properly distinguishing thetransition function...

Determining good parameter estimates in ESTAR models is known to be difficult. We showthat the phenomena of getting strongly biased estimators is a consequence of the so-calledidentication problem, the problem of properly distinguishing the transition function in relationto extreme parameter...

We examine the asymptotic behavior of unit root tests against nonlinear alternativesof the exponential smooth transition type if the data is erroneously nonlinearly transformed...

While it is widely agreed that Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) holds as a long-runconcept the specific dynamic driving the process is largely build upon a priori economicbelief rather than a thorough statistical modeling procedure. The two prevailing timeseries models, i.e. the exponential smooth...

We use a long panel data set for four entry cohorts into an internal labor market toanalyze the effect of age on the probability to participate in different training measures.We find that training participation probabilities are inverted u-shaped with age and thatlonger training measures are...

The use of technical analysis by financial market professionals is not well understood. Thispaper thus analyzes survey evidence from 692 fund managers in five countries, the vast majorityof whom rely on technical analysis. At a forecasting horizon of weeks, technical analysis isthe most...

This study provides a unied growth theory to correctly predictthe initially negative and subsequently positive relationship between child mortalityand net reproduction observed in industrialized countries over the courseof their demographic transitions. The model captures the intricate...

This paper theoretically investigates how community approval or disapprovalaects school attendance and child labor and how aggregate behavior of thecommunity feeds back towards the formation and persistence of an anti- (or pro-)schooling norm. The proposed community-model continues to take...

This paper develops a comprehensive endogenous growth framework to determinethe optimal mix of growth policies. The analysis is novel in that we captureimportant elements of the tax-transfer system and fully take into account transitionaldynamics in our numerical analysis. Currently, for...

The G20 summits in 2009 have proposed major changes in governance of the InternationalMonetary Fund (IMF). Most important seems to be the acknowledgment that the IMF in itscurrent form lacks legitimacy and ownership. Accordingly, the G20 suggests a reallocation ofvoting shares to emerging and...