Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) has surged in Latin America (LA) since the mid 1990s. European and North American FDI is of capital importance. We investigate the FDI-growth nexus in LA allowing for different source countries, regional hetero- geneity, interaction terms with FDI, and more than...

In this paper, we test whether oil price predicts economic growth for 28 developed and 17 developing countries. We use predictability tests that account for the key features of the data, namely, persistency, endogeneity, and heteroskedasticity. Our analysis considers a large number of countries,...

Bu çalışmanın amacı reel döviz kurunun dış ticaret dengesine etkisini araştırarak, Türkiye için Marshall Lerner koşulunun geçerliliğini test etmektir. Bu amaçla eşbütünleşme testi için, son olarak geliştirilen ve otoregresif dağıtılmış gecikmeli (ARDL) modeline dayalı...

In this paper we confront sensitivity analysis with diagnostic testing.Every model is misspecified, but a model is useful if the parameters of interest (the focus) are not sensitive to small perturbations in the underlying assumptions. The study of the e ect of these violations on the focus is...

In this comprehensive empirical study we critically evaluate the use of forecast averaging in the context of electricity prices. We apply seven averaging and one selection scheme and perform a backtesting analysis on day-ahead electricity prices in three major European and US markets. Our...

Bu çalışmada, 1991-2006 dönemini içeren üçer aylık veriler kullanılarak Türkiye turizm talep analizleri yapısal zaman serisi modeli çerçevesinde incelenmiştir. Turizm talebini açıklamak için yapısal zaman serisi modeline fiyat ve gelir değişkenlerine ilaveten trend, mevsimsel...

Employing the MS-ARJI-GJR-GARCH-X model, in which the parameters for the jump process, the asymmetric GARCH effect and the impacts of oil price shocks are regime-dependent, this paper analyzes the impact of crude oil price shock on stock return dynamics. Empirical results reveal three...

Bu makale devletlerin bölünmesinin ekonomik ve politik yükünü, kamu sektörünün ya da devlet sektörünün büyüklüğüyle, ülke büyüklüğü arasındaki ilişki ekseninde ampirik olarak araştırmaktadır. Doksanlı yıların başında dağılan eski sosyalist ülkelerden birçok...

The aim of this paper is to construct theoretical models which help to shed light on the recent criticisms of volatile investment flows. We do not make any empirical attempt to establish the existence or gauge the importance of the adverse effects of volatile investment flows nor do we make any...

Relative to the United States, most European countries have high rates of unemployment and low levels of productivity in manufacturing. To relate these issues, we develop a leader-follower model with endogenous growth and dual labour markets, stressing the role of high-tech and high-wage sectors...