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Asset Prices in Taylor Rules: Specification, Estimation, and Policy Implications for the ECB

Siklos, Pierre L.; Werner, Thomas; Bohl, Martin T. - 2004

This paper estimates standard and extended Taylor rules for core countries in the euro area, namely France, Germany and Italy, as well as for the ECB. Forward, backward and forecast-based rules are estimated for a variety of samples since the late 1970s. We are particularly interested in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295649

Monetary policy transparency, public commentary, and market perceptions about monetary policy in Canada

Siklos, Pierre L. - 2000

Die Einführung von Inflationszielen in Kanada im Jahr 1991 verdeutlichte angeblich das Ziel der Geldpolitik, nämlich … Preisstabilität. Mit der neuen Politik sollte unter anderem die Öffentlichkeit fortan den Erfolg der Geldpolitik leichter daran messen … in der öffentlichen Kommentierung der Geldpolitik seit 1991 fairer beurteilt werden.' Anhand von Kommentaren in den …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295696

Did the Bundesbank React to Stock Price Movements?

Siklos, Pierre L.; Bohl, Martin T.; Werner, Thomas - 2003

In this paper, we investigate the relationship between stock returns and short-term interest rates. Identification of the stock return-interest rate relation is solved by using a new technique that relies on the heteroskedasticity of shocks to stock market returns. We suggest some improvements...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295762

Forecasting national activity using lots of international predictors: an application to New Zealand

Eickmeier, Sandra; Ng, Tim - 2009

We look at how large international datasets can improve forecasts of national activity. We use the case of New Zealand, an archetypal small open economy. We apply "data-rich" factor and shrinkage methods to tackle the problem of efficiently handling hundreds of predictor data series from many...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298758

How do credit supply shocks propagate internationally? A GVAR approach

Eickmeier, Sandra; Ng, Tim - 2011

We study how credit supply shocks in the US, the euro area and Japan are transmitted to other economies. We use the recently-developed GVAR approach to model financial variables jointly with macroeconomic variables in 33 countries for the period 1983-2009. We experiment with inter-country links...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010307706