Showing 1 - 10 of 14
When countries, and macroeconomic models, open up to international capital markets, the welfare gains available through completion of financial markets for contingencies potentially are much greater than those available from access to noncontingent international borrowing. Intercasual insurance,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295640
We estimate international technology spillovers to U.S. manufacturing firms via imports and foreign direct investment (FDI) between the years of 1987 and 1996. In contrast to earlier work, our results suggest that FDI leads to substantial productivity gains for domestic firms. The size of FDI...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295675
Globalization has effected business cycle developments in OECD countries and has increased activities of firms across national borders. This paper analyzes whether these two developments are linked. We use a new firm-level dataset on the foreign activities of German firms to test whether foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295678
investiert, die als besonders risikoarm und hochliquide angesehen wurden. Einer dieser 'sicheren Häfen' war der Markt für … hindeutet. Trotzdem war der Markt in der Lage, ein statistisch signifikant höhere Anzahl von Transaktionen und Volumina zu … handeln. In diesem Sinne war die Bereitstellung von Marktliquidität während der Turbulenzen außergewöhnlich effektiv. Das …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295689
The present paper uses survey data on expected consumer price developments to analyse the role of inflation expectations in the inflation process. The survey measures of price expectations are derived from the European Commission's Consumer Survey and from the surveys of professional experts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295707
Regarding inflation as being a monetary phenomenon in the long-run is a widely-held view in modern macro economics. We analyse this topic by means of a P-star model. Based on the quantity theory of money, this approach explains inflation via a supposed equilibrium price level (P-star), which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295711
The paper develops an oil price forecasting technique which is based on the present value model of rational commodity pricing. The approach suggests shifting the forecasting problem to the marginal convenience yield which can be derived from the cost-of-carry relationship. In a recursive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295802
Political risk represents an important hidden transaction cost that reduces international trade. This paper investigates the claim that German public export credit guarantees (Hermes guarantees) mitigate this friction to trade flows and hence promote exports. We employ an empirical trade gravity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295825
Technological change is often hypothesized as one of the main drivers of merger activities. This paper analyzes the role of technology in mergers and acquisitions (M&As) at the firm level. Based on a newly created data set that combines financial information and patent data for public limited...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295834
In this paper we revisit medium- to long-run exchange rate determination, focusing on the role of international investment positions. To do so, we develop a new econometric framework accounting for conditional long-run homogeneity in heterogeneous dynamic panel data models. In particular, in our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295860