Showing 1 - 10 of 11
, France, Italy, the Netherlands, and the UK. We find that even when accounting for expectations, represented by the economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003338244
This study develops a parsimonious stable coefficient money demand model for Estonia for the period from 1995 till 2006. Using the Johansen Full Information Maximum Likelihood framework the two cointegrating vectors are found among the system variables including the real money balances, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003440004
In this paper we forecast the annual growth rates of the real GDP for each of the 16 German Länder (States) simultaneously. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first attempt in the literature that addresses this question for all German Länder as most of the studies try to forecast the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003426277
This study utilizes the dynamic factor model of Giannone et al. (2008) in order to make now-/forecasts of GDP quarter-on-quarter growth rates in Switzerland. It also assesses the informational content of macroeconomic data releases for forecasting of the Swiss GDP. We find that the factor model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003931033
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003577708
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003577720
In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 115 indicators to predict the housing prices and rents in 71 German cities. Above all, we are interested in whether the local business confidence indicators can allow substantially improving the forecasts, given the local nature of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010238830
. We adopt the two-step estimation procedure. In the first step, we obtain parameter estimates of the self …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437234
In this paper we study the determinants of international migration to Germany, 1967-2000. The empirical literature on macro-economic migration functions usually explains migration flows by a set of explanatory variables such as the income differential, employment rates, and migrations stocks as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011439458
We examine the degree of natural gas market integration in Europe, North America and Japan, between the mid 1990's and 2002. The relationship between the international gas marker prices, and their relation to the oil price, are investigated through principal component analysis and Johansen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011439628