Golosov, Mikhail; King, J. R. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2002
Year-ahead forecasts of tax revenues incorporated into IMF programs for low-income countries, from 1993 to 1999, are … percent. Forecasts of tax revenues as a percentage of GDP were biased upwards, but there was no significant bias in forecasts … of nominal tax revenues. Upward bias in the tax revenue forecasts was associated with subsequent interruptions to the …