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Accounting for technology heterogeneity in the measurement of persistent and transient inefficiency
Skevas, Ioannis - In: Economic modelling 137 (2024), pp. 1-8
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014549231
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German and the rest of euro area fiscal policy during the crisis
Gadatsch, Niklas; Hauzenberger, Klemens; Stähler, Nikolai - 2015
We present the estimated large-scale three-region DSGE model GEAR picturing Germany, the Euro Area and the Rest of the … present-value multipliers for distinct fiscal instruments, and to assess how discretionary fiscal policy in Germany and the …-on-quarter GDP growth substantially, both in Germany and in the rest of the Euro Area. The main drivers of GDP growth in Europe …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010516561
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Panel Forecasts of Country-Level Covid-19 Infections
Liu, Laura - 2020
We use dynamic panel data models to generate density forecasts for daily Covid-19 infections for a panel of countries/regions. At the core of our model is a specification that assumes that the growth rate of active infections can be represented by autoregressive fluctuations around a downward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833111
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Panel forecasts of country-level Covid-19 infections
Liu, Laura; Moon, Hyungsik Roger; Schorfheide, Frank - In: Journal of econometrics 220 (2021) 1, pp. 2-22
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012618232
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Fiscal policy during the crisis : a look on Germany and the Euro area with GEAR
Gadatsch, Niklas; Hauzenberger, Klemens; Stähler, Nikolai - In: Economic modelling 52 (2016), pp. 997-1016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011643119
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What drives German foreign direct investment? : new evidence using Bayesian statistical techniques
Camarero Olivas, Mariam; Montolio, Laura; Tamarit … - In: Economic modelling 83 (2019), pp. 326-345
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012206393
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Rebalancing the euro area : is wage adjustment in Germany the answer?
Hoffmann, Mathias; Kliem, Martin; Krause, Michael; … - 2020
We assess to what extent wage inflation policies in Germany could contribute to an economic rebalancing in the euro … and output in Germany and the rest of the euro area. The duration of constant interest rates and expectations about the … consists of Germany, the rest of the euro area, and the rest of the world. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012184056
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A stress test framework for the German residential mortgage market : methodology and application
Siemsen, Thomas; Vilsmeier, Johannes - 2017
This paper exploits a recent and granular data set for 1,500 German LSIs to conduct a residential mortgage stress testing exercise. To account for model uncertainty when modeling PD dynamics we use a benchmark-constrained Bayesian model averaging approach that combines standard BMA with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011764865
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What drives the German TARGET balances? : evidence from a BVAR approach
Bettendorf, Timo; Jochem, Axel - 2021
Applying a BVAR model, the present paper first identifies the possible drivers of Germany's TARGET claims. In this … studying the causes of current fluctuations in Germany's TARGET claims. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510162
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Evolution of forecast disagreement in a Bayesian learning model
Lahiri, Kajal; Sheng, Xuguang - In: Journal of econometrics 144 (2008) 2, pp. 325-340
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003774622