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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013207012
In this paper, we analyze politicians’ expectations about future compliance with a fiscal rule, and in particular the dependence of the expectations on their role in parliament (opposition vs. incumbent government coalition). In addition, we explore how opposition and incumbent politicians...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012304830
dependent on the steady-state debt-to-GDP ratio and thus determines the cutoff point beyond which debt is non-stationary. We … this regime, the lower the steady state debt-to-GDP ratio must be. This has repercussions for the overall business cycle …, implying a higher volatility of inflation and output the longer fiscal policy is active for any given equilibrium debt-to-GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011846884
debt above 60 percent or deficits above 3 percent of GDP. We find that the proposed framework would require ambitious … fiscal adjustment: on average, more than 2 percent of GDP over the medium term, in addition to the adjustment that is already … framework. We also find that for most countries with debt above 60 percent of GDP, these adjustment requirements are driven by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372855
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This paper describes the particular impacts of the financial and economic crisis on central and eastern European (CEE) countries, studies pro-cyclicality of fiscal policies, discusses the impact of the crisis on fiscal policy, and the policy response of various governments. After drawing some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003874233
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003927249
In Folge der starken Rezession kommt es durch diskretionäre Maßnahmen der Bundesregierung und die Auswirkung der automatischen Stabilisatoren zu einem erheblichen Anstieg des Staatsdefizits. Im Ergebnis wird das Niveau der öffentlichen Verschuldung bei Rückkehr zur wirtschaftlichen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003962777
I calculate unemployment multipliers of fiscal consolidation policies in a standard, closed-economy New Keynesian framework with search and matching frictions, and, as an innovation, in the presence of sectoral heterogeneity. Family and non-family firms behave differently in the labor market and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010516542