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Infra-monthly time series have increasingly appeared on the radar of official statistics in recent years, mostly as a consequence of a general digital transformation process and the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Many of those series are seasonal and thus in need for seasonal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013336397
Infra-monthly economic time series have become increasingly popular in official statistics in recent years. This evolution has been largely fostered by official statistics’ digital transformation during the last decade. The COVID-19 pandemic outbreak in 2020 has added fuel to the fire as many...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014336194
Large-scale environmental programs generally commit substantial societal resources, making the evaluation of their actual effects on the relevant outcomes imperative. As the example of the subsidization of energy-saving appliances illustrates, much of the applied environmental economics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428451
Underrepresentation of minority and poor households in scientific studies undermines policy decisions and public health. We study data from a serological study that randomized participation incentives. Participation is low (6% at $0, 17% at $100, 29% at $500) and unequal: minority and poor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537774
We introduce artificial intelligence pricing theory (AIPT). In contrast with the APT's foundational assumption of a low dimensional factor structure in returns, the AIPT conjectures that returns are driven by a large number of factors. We first verify this conjecture empirically and show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015072953
We consider the problem of regressions with selectively observed covariates in a nonparametric framework. Our approach relies on instrumental variables that explain variation in the latent covariates but have no direct e ffect on selection. The regression function of interest is shown to be a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012138698
We develop new semiparametric methods for estimating treatment effects. We focus on a setting where the outcome distributions may be thick tailed, where treatment effects are small, where sample sizes are large and where assignment is completely random. This setting is of particular interest in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629462
Time series data are widely used to explore causal relationships, typically in a regression framework with lagged dependent variables. Regression-based causality tests rely on an array of functional form and distributional assumptions for valid causal inference. This paper develops a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467713
matching estimators exhibit the opposite behavior: They limit interpolation bias at the potential expense of extrapolation bias …. We propose combining the matching and synthetic control estimators through model averaging. We show how to use a rolling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479148
selection--on--observables type assumptions using matching or propensity score methods. Much of this literature is highly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458705