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This paper summarizes the results of a Survey on Monetary policy Communication conducted among central banks in Central Eastern and South-Eastern Europe and the euro area. The main objective of this Survey was to draw evidence on the level of transparency and communication strategies of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011785370
Global growth prospects have deteriorated significantly since the beginning of the year, raising the specter of global recession. This paper relies on insights gleaned from previous global recessions to analyze the recent evolution of economic activity and policies and presents plausible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014541046
We analyze the impact of financial crises and monetary policy on the supply of wholesale funding liquidity, and also on the compositional supply effects through cross-border and relationship lending. For empirical identification, we draw on the proprietary bank-to-bank European interbank dataset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010471858
predictable. Moreover, using filtering techniques designed to process data subject to revisions, the real-time forecasting … aggregate GDP level appears to be good luck rather than good forecasting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034636
the pandemic period, as well as for earlier subsamples of relatively high volatility. In historical forecasting, outlier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013184356
VARs are a popular tool for forecasting and structural analysis, but ill-suited to handle occasionally binding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320745
Macroeconomic expectations of various economic agents are characterized by substantial cross-sectional heterogeneity. In this paper, we focus on expectations heterogeneity among professional forecasters. We first present stylized facts and discuss theoretical explanations for heterogeneous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014472058
This paper reviews the theoretical literature at the intersection of macroeconomics and finance to draw lessons on the connection between vulnerabilities in the financial system and the macroeconomy, and on how monetary policy affects that connection. This literature finds that financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888656
During the recent financial crisis, the Federal Reserve implemented a series of extraordinary and unconventional policies to alleviate the impact of the crisis on financial markets and the economy. In this paper, we examine the effects of these policies on broad financial market conditions,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292196
Should central banks use leaning against the wind (LAW)-type monetary or macroprudential policy to address risks to financial stability? We first assess LAW as a one-off (nonsystematic) policy using an estimated large-scale dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with empirically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013373822