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Germany as center countries with rising / high current account deficits (US) and surpluses (Germany). These are matched by … analysis extends from 1981-2008, the results for Germany mostly capture the situation before the euro was created. - Global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973544
This paper analyses the incidence and severity of sudden stops in euro area countries before and after the introduction of the ECB's asset purchase programmes. We define sudden stops as abrupt declines in private net financial inflows, i.e. total flows adjusted for EU and IMF loans and changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012643263
bargaining shock. We then impose these restrictions on a Global VAR consisting of Germany and 8 EMU countries to identify a wage … bargaining shock in Germany. Our results show that, although the German current account was significantly affected by wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011292316
We investigate the interactions across current account misalignments, Real Effective Exchange Rate misalignments and financial (or output) gaps within EU countries. We apply panel techniques, including a Bayesian panel VAR, to 27 EU members over the period 1994-2012. We find that, for the euro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637376
Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) has transformed Europe and has created an integrated pan-European economy. Much research has focused on understanding this integration process and what benefits and costs it entails. This paper identifies a political economy channel of EMU as the monetary union...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003794175
factor. The pull factor captures flows of bank loans to the domestic non-financial private sector. An increase in these flows … external demand and an improvement in the current account. Using a panel error correction specification, the estimation results … less clear-cut. The paper also shows that variations in the flows of bank loans to the non-financial private sector (i …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373649
Between 1999 and the onset of the economic crisis in 2008 real exchange rates in Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010487256
Between 1999 and the onset of the economic crisis in 2008 real exchange rates in Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010221275
The paper analyses the transmission of global financial shocks to individual member states of the European Monetary Union (EMU), in which monetary policy is delegated to the ECB and financial markets are fully integrated. Using a panel VAR model, we show that the asymmetric effects of global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011495568
estimation is based on a simple autoregressive model and comes to the conclusion that current account adjustment is significantly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010211960