Showing 1 - 10 of 12
We update Rose and Spiegel (2009a, b) and search for simple quantitative models of macroeconomic and financial indicators of the "Great Recession" of 2008-09. We use a cross-country approach and examine a number of potential causes that have been found to be successful indicators of crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462412
I describe the challenge of fully integrating securities markets in Europe by integrating the clearing and settlement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464171
This paper presents an empirical analysis of speculative attacks on pegged exchange rates in 22 countries between 1967 and 1992. We define speculative attacks or crises as large movements in exchange rates, interest rates, and international reserves. We develop stylized facts concerning the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474009
Realignment expectations which measure exchange rate credibility are analyzed for European exchange rates, using daily financial data since the inception of the EMS. It is difficult to find economically meaningful relationships between realignment expectations and macroeconomic variables,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474450
The stability of the EMS depends crucially on realignment expectations of the market participants. In this paper we discuss how to measure such expectations and how to relate them to economic fundamentals, central bank reputation, and institutional arrangements of the EMS. We find the following...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474669
The paper discusses the policy problems of a project aimed at substituting several national currencies with one single currency. While these problems are of general interest, the analysis is motivated by the plan for Economic and Monetary Union among the members of the European Community. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475071
An empirical model of time-varying realignment risk in an exchange rate target zone is developed. Expected rates of devaluation are estimated as the difference between interest race differentials and estimated expected rates of depreciation within the exchange rate band, using French...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475326
In the context of a flexible-price monetary exchange rate model and the assumption of uncovered interest parity, we obtain a measure of the fundamental determinant of exchange rates. Daily data for the European Monetary System are used to explore the importance of non-linearities in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475458
This paper discusses a model corporate tax system based on the application of the residence principle. This tax system, while preserving national sovereignties, minimizes the distortions from international capital mobility. The paper is motivated by an analysis of European capital income tax...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475702
This paper addresses the question of whether the European Monetary System can be copied outside Europe. Our answer is … negative. The EMS is just one element of a more comprehensive design of institutional integration within Europe: the presence … to EMS exchange rate targets in a way that would not be present. say, among the United States, Europe and Japan. The EMS …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476271