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Trade and exchange-rate dynamics in a dynamic competitive economy
Backus, David K.; Kehoe, Patrick J. - 1987
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003478963
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Currency returns, intrinsic value, and institutional-investor flows
Froot, Kenneth; Ramadorai, Tarun - In: The journal of finance : the journal of the American … 60 (2005) 3, pp. 1535-1566
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002890958
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International yield curves and currency puzzles
Chernov, Mikhail; Creal, Drew - In: The journal of finance : the journal of the American … 78 (2023) 1, pp. 209-245
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014311355
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What's on their mind: Do exchange rate forecasters stick to theoretical models?
Schröder, Michael; Dornau, Robert - 1999
Do financial market analysts use structural economic models when forecasting exchange rates? This is the leading question analysed in this paper. In contrast to other studies we use expectations data instead of observable variables. Therefore we analyse the implicit structural models forecasters...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428206
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The dynamic impact of FX interventions on financial markets
Menkhoff, Lukas; Rieth, Malte; Heidland, Tobias - 2019
Evidence on the effectiveness of FX interventions is either limited to short horizons or hampered by debatable identification. We address these limitations by identifying a structural vector autoregressive model for the daily frequency with an external instrument. Applying this approach to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012138448
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Exchange rate volatility and cross-border travel : theory and empirics
Wisarut Suwanprasert - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012605965
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Dynamic distributive effects of money stock changes in a three-country world model under flexible exchange rate regimes
Aoki, Masanao - 1981
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000333424
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Macroeconomic stability and the real interest rate : a cross-country analysis
Groth, Charlotta; Zampolli, Fabrizio - 2010
We construct a measure of the short-term world interest rate using principal component analysis. Drawing on real … interest rate data for 18 OECD countries for the period 1985 - 2008, persistent deviations from the world interest rate that … that a rise in conditional consumption growth volatility relative to the rest of the world reduces the foreign exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008695840
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Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time-varying parameter models
Abbate, Angela; Marcellino, Massimiliano - 2016
We explore whether modelling parameter time variation improves the point, interval and density forecasts of nine major exchange rates vis-a-vis the US dollar over the period 1976-2015. We find that modelling parameter time variation is needed for an accurate calibration of forecast confidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489395
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International investment positions and exchange rate dynamics
Binder, Michael; Offermanns, Christian J. - 2014
We revisit medium- to long-run exchange rate determination, focusing on the role of international investment positions. To do so, we make use of a new econometric framework accounting for conditional long-run homogeneity in heterogeneous dynamic panel data models. In particular, in our model the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414236