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The effects of monetary policy on unemployment dynamics under model uncertainty : evidence from the US and the euro area ( by Carlo Altavilla and Matteo Ciccarelli
Altavilla, Carlo; Ciccarelli, Matteo - 2009
This paper explores the role that the imperfect knowledge of the structure of the economy plays in the uncertainty surrounding the effects of rule-based monetary policy on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We employ a Bayesian model averaging procedure on a wide range of models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003963762
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The ECB's New Multi-Country Model for the euro area : NMCM - with boundedly rational learning expectations
Dieppe, Alistair; Pandiella, Alberto González; Hall, … - 2011
Rational expectations has been the dominant way to model expectations, but the literature has quickly moved to a more realistic assumption of boundedly rational learning where agents are assumed to use only a limited set of information to form their expectations. A standard assumption is that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008935830
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The ECB's New Multi-Country Model for the euro area : NMCM - simulated with rational expectations
Dieppe, Alistair; González Pandiella, Alberto; … - 2011
provide some simulation results under the assumption of model-consistent rational expectations, we show that there is some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008935832
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Quasi-Monte Carlo methods in stochastic simulations : an application to fiscal policy simulations using an aggregate disequilibrium model of the West German economy 1960 - 1994
Franz, Wolfgang (contributor) - 1998
Different stochastic simulation methods are used in order to check the robustness of the outcome of policy simulations … possible margin. Because of nonlinearities confidence intervals for the simulation results have to be obtained by means of … stochastic simulations. The main contribution of this paper consists in presenting the simulation results. The robustness of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000654506
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Towards expenditure rules and fiscal sanity in the euro area
Hauptmeier, Sebastian; Fuentes, Jesus Sanchez; … - 2010
The study looks at primary expenditure developments in the euro area, its three largest members and four “macro-imbalances” countries for the period 1999-2009. It compares actual expenditure trends with those that would have prevailed if countries had followed neutral policies based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640273
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Euro area labour markets
Bruha, Jan; Pierluigi, Beatrice; Serafini, Roberta - 2011
A small labour market model for the six largest euro area countries (Germany, France, Italy, Spain, the Netherlands, Belgium) is estimated in a state -space framework. The model entails, in the long run, four driving forces: a trend labour force component, a trend labour productivity component,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640610
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The macroeconomic effects of progressive taxes and welfare
Engler, Philipp; Strehl, Wolfgang - 2016
We analyze the positive and normative effects of a progressive tax on wages in a nonlinear New Keynesian DSGE model in the presence of demand and technology shocks. The non-linearity allows us to disentangle the effects of the progressive tax on the volatility and the level of macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011566088
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Labour tax reforms, cross-country coordination and the monetary policy stance in the euro area : a structural model-based approach
Jacquinot, Pascal; Lozej, Matija; Pisani, Massimiliano - 2018
We evaluate the effects of permanently reducing labour tax rates in the euro area (EA) by simulating a large-scale open economy dynamic general equilibrium model. The model features the EA as a monetary union, split in two regions (Home and the rest of the EA - REA), the US, and the rest of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011792134
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Optimal monetary and fiscal policy
Benigno, Pierpaolo; Woodford, Michael - 2004
We propose an integrated treatment of the problems of optimal monetary and fiscal policy, for an economy in which prices are sticky and the only available sources of government revenue are distorting taxes. Our linear-quadratic approach allows us to nest both conventional analyses of optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639399
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Anticipated Ramsey reforms and the uniform taxation principle
Schmitt-Grohé, Stephanie; Uribe, Martín - 2003
This paper studies the role of asset-market completeness for the properties of optimal fiscal and monetary policy. A suitable framework for this purpose is the small open economy with complete international asset markets. For in this environment changes in policy represent country-specific risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639857