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(When) does money growth help to predict Euro-area inflation at low frequencies?
Schreiber, Sven - 2013 - this version: June 2013
revisit claims in the literature that money growth is Granger-causal for inflation at low frequencies. Applying frequency …-specific tests in a comprehensive system setup for euro-area data we consider various theoretical predictors of inflation. A general … Granger-causal for low-frequency inflation movements, and all variables affect money growth. We therefore interpret opposite …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009774367
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Divisia monetary aggregates for a heterogeneous euro area
Brill, Maximilian; Nautz, Dieter; Sieckmann, Lea - 2019 - This version: June 25, 2019
We introduce a Divisia monetary aggregate for the euro area that accounts for the heterogeneity across member countries both, in terms of interest rates and the decomposition of monetary assets. In most of the euro area countries, the difference between the growth rates of the country-specific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012023395
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Labor productivity, effort and the euro area business cycle
Lewis, Vivien; Villa, Stefania; Wolters, Maik H. - 2019
, we demonstrate that effort dampens the response of inflation to exogenous shocks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012134398
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To sign or not to sign? : on the response of prices to financial and uncertainty shocks
Meinen, Philipp; Röhe, Oke - 2018
Based on SVAR models identified by sign restrictions, we estimate the macroeconomic effects of financial and uncertainty shocks in the euro area and the US, paying particular attention to their effects on prices. While our results confirm that such disturbances are important drivers of output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897983
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Economic theories and macroeconomic reality
Loria, Francesca; Matthes, Christian; Wang, Mu-Chun - 2021
Economic theories are often encoded in equilibrium models that cannot be directly estimated because they lack features that, while inessential to the theoretical mechanism that is central to the specific theory, would be essential to fit the data well. We propose an econometric approach that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792815
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Unconventional monetary policy shocks in the euro area and the sovereign-bank nexus
Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Scharler, Johann - 2020
We explore the effects of the ECB's unconventional monetary policy on the banks' sovereign debt portfolios. In particular, using panel vector autoregressive (VAR) models we analyze whether banks increased their domestic government bond holdings in response to non-standard monetary policy shocks,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197879
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The impact of monetary instruments on shock absorption in EU-countries
Müller, Claudia; Buscher, Herbert S. - 1999
The main characteristic of the implementation of the European Monetary Union (EMU) is the transition from various national currencies to the Euro, the common European currency. A final fixing of the individual bilateral exchange rates of all European countries involved in the Monetary Union...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428212
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Did output gap measurement improve over time?
Chiu, Adrian; Wieladek, Tomasz - 2012
We study whether the accuracy of real-time estimates of the output gap produced by the OECD has improved over time by examining a panel dataset on real-time output gap revisions for 15 countries from 1991 Q1 - 2005 Q4. We use a simple panel data regression and a state space model, with common...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009559228
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The international transmission of monetary policy
Buch, Claudia M.; Bussière, Matthieu; Goldberg, Linda S.; … - 2018
transmission of monetary policies of the U.S., euro area, Japan, and United Kingdom. Two other studies use international data with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864739
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Tales of transition paths : policy uncertainty and random walks
Hollmayr, Josef; Matthes, Christian - 2015
What happens when fiscal and/or monetary policy changes systematically? We construct a DSGE model in which agents have to estimate fiscal and monetary policy rules and assess how uncertainty surrounding the conduct of policymakers influences transition paths after policy changes. We find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011292321