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(When) does money growth help to predict Euro-area inflation at low frequencies?
Schreiber, Sven - 2013 - this version: June 2013
revisit claims in the literature that money growth is Granger-causal for inflation at low frequencies. Applying frequency …-specific tests in a comprehensive system setup for euro-area data we consider various theoretical predictors of inflation. A general … Granger-causal for low-frequency inflation movements, and all variables affect money growth. We therefore interpret opposite …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009774367
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Divisia monetary aggregates for a heterogeneous euro area
Brill, Maximilian; Nautz, Dieter; Sieckmann, Lea - 2019 - This version: June 25, 2019
We introduce a Divisia monetary aggregate for the euro area that accounts for the heterogeneity across member countries both, in terms of interest rates and the decomposition of monetary assets. In most of the euro area countries, the difference between the growth rates of the country-specific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012023395
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German and the rest of euro area fiscal policy during the crisis
Gadatsch, Niklas; Hauzenberger, Klemens; Stähler, Nikolai - 2015
We present the estimated large-scale three-region DSGE model GEAR picturing Germany, the Euro Area and the Rest of the world. Compared to existing models of this type, GEAR incorporates a comprehensive fiscal block, involuntary unemployment and a complex international structure. We use the model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010516561
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Labor productivity, effort and the euro area business cycle
Lewis, Vivien; Villa, Stefania; Wolters, Maik H. - 2019
, we demonstrate that effort dampens the response of inflation to exogenous shocks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012134398
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To sign or not to sign? : on the response of prices to financial and uncertainty shocks
Meinen, Philipp; Röhe, Oke - 2018
Based on SVAR models identified by sign restrictions, we estimate the macroeconomic effects of financial and uncertainty shocks in the euro area and the US, paying particular attention to their effects on prices. While our results confirm that such disturbances are important drivers of output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897983
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External financing and economic activity in the euro area : why are bank loans special?
Aldasoro, Iñaki; Unger, Robert - 2017
Using a Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) identified with a mix of sign and zero restrictions, we show that a restrictive bank loan supply shock has a strong and persistent negative impact on real GDP and the GDP deflator. This result comes about even though flows of other sources of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011632175
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Unconventional monetary policy shocks in the euro area and the sovereign-bank nexus
Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Scharler, Johann - 2020
We explore the effects of the ECB's unconventional monetary policy on the banks' sovereign debt portfolios. In particular, using panel vector autoregressive (VAR) models we analyze whether banks increased their domestic government bond holdings in response to non-standard monetary policy shocks,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197879
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Did output gap measurement improve over time?
Chiu, Adrian; Wieladek, Tomasz - 2012
We study whether the accuracy of real-time estimates of the output gap produced by the OECD has improved over time by examining a panel dataset on real-time output gap revisions for 15 countries from 1991 Q1 - 2005 Q4. We use a simple panel data regression and a state space model, with common...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009559228
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Climate policies under dynamic international economic cycles : a heterogeneous countries DSGE model
Xiao, Bowen; Guo, Xiaodan; Fan, Ying; Voigt, Sebastian; … - 2020
In light of increased economic integration and global warming, addressing critical issues such as the role of multilateral climate policies and the strategic interaction of countries in climate negotiations becomes paramount. We thus established for this paper an open economy environmental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174121
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Money growth and consumer price inflation in the euro area : a wavelet analysis
Mandler, Martin; Scharnagl, Michael - 2014
Our paper studies the relationship between money growth and consumer price inflation in the euro area using wavelet … analysis. Wavelet analysis allows to account for variations in the money growth-inflation relationship both across the … frequency spectrum and across time. We find evidence of strong comovements between money growth and inflation at low frequencies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010433361