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This paper extends the existing literature on the uniqueness and stability conditions for an equilibrium under inflation-forecast-based (IFB) rules. It shows that, for a variety of New Keynesian sticky-price and sticky-inflation models, these are a function not just of the degree of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011517930
We study the welfare performance of various simple monetary policy rules under bounded rationality (BR) along the lines of Gabaix (2020) in a New Keynesian model with sticky wages and an effective lower bound (ELB) on interest rates. Policy strategies with a strong history dependence lose their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320809
We tackle two questions in this paper: In the sovereign debt crisis, what moves the euro area inflation outlook and has the firm anchoring of medium to long-term inflation expectations been touched? Deriving densities from a new data set on options on the euro area harmonized index of consumer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010415789
transactional level allows me to apply advanced panel methods. Furthermore, this paper shows liquidity hoarding during the pandemic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014481123
liquidity tightened after the Lehman collapse but there is no evidence of fire sales in the German banking sector. Instead, we … observe a broad-based flight to liquidity. The European Central Bank's unconventional monetary policy had a strong impact on … banks' trading behavior by inducing shifts towards eligible securities and reducing pressure on market liquidity. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011671299
The paper exploits a simulation environment and its output indicators to compare the performance of "ex-ante" policy instruments across housing and social welfare domains. We create a progressive score to contrast six single and mixed policy instruments against a no-policy baseline. The multiple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014428762
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003529410
This paper discusses the two-way interaction between policy and academic enquiry regarding rules for monetary policy. The emerging consensus on monetary policy is described; in that context, some of the features of the current UK system are outlined which seem particularly important. From a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011517924
What happens when fiscal and/or monetary policy changes systematically? We construct a DSGE model in which agents have to estimate fiscal and monetary policy rules and assess how uncertainty surrounding the conduct of policymakers influences transition paths after policy changes. We find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011292321
Based on three versions of a small macroeconomic model for Brazil, this paper presents empirical evidence on the effects of parameter uncertainty on monetary policy rules and on the robustness of optimal and simple rules over different model specifications. By comparing the optimal policy rule...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012007894