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Do heterogeneous expectations constitute a challenge for policy interaction?

Gasteiger, Emanuel - 2016

Yes, indeed; at least for macroeconomic policy interaction. We examine a Neo-Classical economy and provide the conditions for policy arrangements to successfully stabilize the economy when agents have either rational or adaptive expectations. For a contemporaneous-data monetary policy rule, the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011513023

Money growth and consumer price inflation in the euro area : a wavelet analysis

Mandler, Martin; Scharnagl, Michael - 2014

Our paper studies the relationship between money growth and consumer price inflation in the euro area using wavelet … analysis. Wavelet analysis allows to account for variations in the money growth-inflation relationship both across the … frequency spectrum and across time. We find evidence of strong comovements between money growth and inflation at low frequencies …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010433361

The shocks matter : improving our estimates of exchange rate pass-through

Forbes, Kristin; Hjortsoe, Ida; Nenova, Tsvetelina - 2015

A major challenge for monetary policy has been predicting how exchange rate movements will impact inflation. We propose …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011384119

A trendy approach to UK inflation dynamics

Forbes, Kristin; Kirkham, Lewis; Theordoridis, Konstantinos - 2017

This paper uses a "trendy" approach to understand UK inflation dynamics. It focuses on the time series to isolate a low …-frequency and slow-moving component of inflation (the trend) from deviations around this trend. We find that this slow-moving trend … explains a substantial share of UK inflation dynamics. International prices are significantly correlated with the short …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011664348

Shocks versus structure : explaining differences in exchange rate pass-through across countries and time

Forbes, Kristin; Hjortsoe, Ida; Nenova, Tsvetelina - 2017

. Previous literature has highlighted the role of an economy's "structure" - such as its inflation volatility, inflation rate …, forecasts predicting how a given exchange rate movement will impact inflation at a specific point in time should take into …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011671018

Extreme inflation and time-varying consumption growth

Dergunov, Ilya; Meinerding, Christoph; Schlag, Christian - 2019

In a parsimonious regime switching model, expected consumption growth varies over time. Adding in ation as a conditioning variable, we uncover two states in which expected consumption growth is low, one with high and one with negative expected in ation. Embedded in a general equilibrium asset...