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There has been mixed evidence regarding the existence of rational bubbles in the foreign exchange markets. Standard … unit root and cointegration tests are criticized for their low power to detect rational bubbles that periodically collapse …. This paper introduces recently developed sequential unit root tests into the analysis of exchange rates bubbles. Our …
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Arguing that in the real world relatively optimistic inexperienced investors are prey for relatively pessimistic veteran traders, we formalize this intuitive conjecture as a proven proposition in a simple model. This agreement to disagree leads to a perpetual bubble, in which more experienced,...
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A framework which allows for the joint testing of the adaptive and rational expectations hypotheses is presented. We assume joint normality of expectations, realizations and variables in the information set, allowing for parsimonious interpretation of the data; conditional first moments are...
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transmission of monetary policies of the U.S., euro area, Japan, and United Kingdom. Two other studies use international data with …
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